Tuesday, August 8, 2017

News from National Association of Realtors (NAR)

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) Pending Home Sales Index is a measure of contracts signed on existing homes. It's a forward-looking indicator of where sales may be a few months out when those contracts go to closing. Monday we got the good news that Pending Home Sales in June were 1.5% ahead of May's upwardly revised reading. This reverses a three month decline, and the NAR now predicts existing home sales will end the year at about 5.56 million, up 2.6% from 2016's 5.45 million. The median existing home price is forecast to end the year up 5%, just below 2016's 5.1% gain.

The NAR's chief economist commented: "Market conditions in many areas continue to be fast paced, with few properties to choose from, which is forcing buyers to act almost immediately on an available home that fits their criteria." Freddie Mac's chief economist concurred, "the spoiler is the lean inventory... nationally, just over five months of supply." Yet he remains positive: "A decade after the Great Recession, the housing market is rebounding. House prices today are higher than they were at the peak in the summer of 2006, near record low mortgage rates have boosted housing demand, and sales volume is robust."

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