Monday, July 27, 2015

Home Sales Hit 8 Year High:

Mortgage backed securities (FNMA 3.50 MBS) gained +35 basis points (BPS) from last Friday's close which caused fixed mortgage rates to improve slightly.

It was a week of very slow gains as our domestic data weighed on pricing but international events provided terrific support and even some upper momentum.

Domestically, we had a very light economic calendar and no major Treasury auctions.  Existing Home Sales were much stronger than expected and reached an eight year high.  Weekly Jobless Claims fell to their lowest level since 1973.  And  the Leading Economic Indicators were  three times stronger than market expectations.  This wave of positive economic news provided pressure on pricing  but this was more than offset by international events.

International Flavor: While the Chinese stock market continues to be a huge concern, we also go news that their PMI (manufacturing data) just hit a 15 month low.  Greece remained front and center as two more votes were passed and they used their new bridge loan to make some payments back to the ECB and IMF.  "hair cut" creditors would have to take on Greek debt has the market worried that Germany will scuttle the deal and it is this fear that caused the upward movement in pricing for the week. 

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